Home/BlogOur friends to the north in the sovereign republic of Canuckistan are experiencing record wildfire activity. At least in northwest Canada, where it has been unusually hot and dry.
Four days ago things were getting pretty bad, as seen in this NASA MODIS image (click for large version):
NASA MODIS image of western Canada and the northern U.S., July 21, 2014.
By yesterday, the smoke from the fires had spread to the Great Lakes (yes, here comes that Canadian pollution again):
As in previous image, but for July 24, 2014.
Of course, experts quoted in the news dutifully blamed it in climate change. According to Alaska Dispatch News,
“Canada’s senior climatologist, Dave Phillips, says the southern Northwest Territories is experiencing the hottest, driest summer in some 50 years.
The extremely hot dry weather in the interior and north of British Columbia is now contributing to the spread of a number of fires in that west coast province.
Phillips adds the kind of weather seen this year is what global warming modeling predicted for 40 years from now.”
Now, wherever it is hot and dry where vegetation exists, we can expect above normal wildfire activity. But the hot and dry conditions in the west are almost always matched by cool and wet conditions in the east, which is what we have seen in recent months.
It makes no sense to talk about above normal activity in one area, and ignore below normal activity elsewhere, when claiming a link to climate change. It is intellectually lazy and verges on incompetence.
Another cold front will be pushing all the way to the Gulf coast by next Wednesday, producing more record low temperatures, as see in this Weatherbell.com graphic:
GFS model minimum temperature anomaly forecast for Wednesday July 30, 2014 (Weatherbell.com).
Anytime this happens (which is rare this time of year, at least here in Alabama) you can virtually guarantee hot and dry weather over western Canada and the western U.S. It’s called “weather”.
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